Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 193 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 22 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. $148.82K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 193 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cactusman77 | Yes | 7K |
| gandalf | Yes | 4.24K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 1.79K |
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-join-nato-before-july
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 384.49 |
| DoctorGeorgio | Yes | 277.78 |
| Beardedf | Yes | 133.33 |
| OpportunisticAlpha | No | 106.38 |
| Ule | Yes | 71.43 |
| PizzaHawaii | Yes | 60 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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