Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Mar 7, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.230 |
| $5.75 |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 12.14 | $0.655 | $7.95 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | sell | 8 | $0.984 | $7.87 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.390 | $17.55 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.640 | $6.39 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 29.16 | $0.240 | $7 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Solana above $240 on December 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 118.36 | $0.868 | $102.77 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.110 | $6.6 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?No | sell | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 8-15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.648 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.412 | $5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |