Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$188.0K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 58% on 11 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 44.5% on 31 Dec 2024. $188.03K traded over the market's life.

70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 6:12 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 1 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Dec 2024	52.5%
1 Mar 2025	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
YagarSahaduta	Yes	1.89K
BabyYoda12	Yes	942.65
LetsBetOnThings	Yes	715

10 of 70 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

In May 2018, the US State Department added HTS to the Nusrah Front's existing December 2012 designation as a foreign terrorist organization (see: https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations/). This market will resolve to "Yes " if the U.S. removes Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from it's list of designated foreign terrorist organizations by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.