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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 686.86 | $0.145 | $104.06 | +$4.06 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 336.17 | $0.223 | $75 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 157.33 |
| $0.477 |
| $70.17 |
| -$4.83 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 566.06 | $0.177 | $67.93 | -$32.07 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 496.22 | $0.151 | $64.51 | -$10.49 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | Yes | 336.17 | $0.223 | $30.25 | -$44.75 |
| buy |
| 429.46 |
| $0.175 |
| $75 |
| 15d ago |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 496.22 | $0.151 | $75 | 20d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 157.23 | $0.159 | $25 | 21d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 529.62 | $0.142 | $75 | 22d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.479 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 105.14 | $0.476 | $50 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 228.86 | $0.240 | $54.93 | 28d ago |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 585.73 | $0.106 | $62.07 | 29d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | sell | 284.99 | $0.150 | $42.75 | 29d ago |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 69.72 | $0.160 | $11.16 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 228.86 | $0.437 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 690.46 | $0.145 | $100 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | sell | 116.21 | $0.320 | $37.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.112 | $131.97 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.280 | $31.82 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.125 | $150 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 112.44 | $0.667 | $75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 161.21 | $0.310 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | sell | 75.9 | $0.871 | $66.11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 566.06 | $0.177 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | buy | 75.91 | $0.659 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 175 | $0.271 | $47.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 583.33 | $0.110 | $64.37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 175 | $0.200 | $35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | buy | 583.33 | $0.060 | $35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 590.9 | $0.400 | $236.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.240 | $0.96 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.79 | $0.232 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.972 | $15.43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.923 | $45.23 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 51.56 | $0.901 | $46.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.077 | $3.78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 51.56 | $0.640 | $33 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 445 | $0.875 | $389.38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 287.3 | $0.092 | $26.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.250 | $28.41 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 218.54 | $0.810 | $177.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 125 | $0.600 | $75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 145.45 | $0.110 | $16 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 59.38 | $0.640 | $38 | Jul 3, 2026 |