Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.680 |
| $1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on October 17?Down | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by September 15?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 @nubcat unsuspended from X by August 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |