Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 6.8% on 17 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Aug 2025. $158.35K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 4.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shmultz | Yes | 32.22K |
| Rayes | Yes | 11.82K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time between July 15, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahmed-al-sharaa-out-as-leader-of-syria-by-august-31
| Yes |
| 2.77K |
| Machiaveli | Yes | 551.55 |
| DustinHolt | Yes | 455.82 |
| InTheHouse | Yes | 325.44 |
| Bugsygoingdeep | Yes | 294.12 |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 250 |
| AspiringWhale123 | Yes | 198.33 |
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