Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.562 | $117.09 | Mar 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 208.33 |
| $0.480 |
| $100 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.82K | $0.120 | $218.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.110 | $200 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.310 | $93.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.180 | $45.09 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 213.72 | $0.190 | $40.61 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 213.72 | $0.468 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.096 | $115.47 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.121 | $145.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.164 | $164 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | sell | 326 | $0.940 | $306.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.164 | $65.6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 326 | $0.950 | $309.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.390 | $117 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.159 | $31.72 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 3 | $0.200 | $0.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 27 | $0.262 | $7.07 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 15 | $0.322 | $4.84 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 154 | $0.240 | $36.96 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.290 | $44.66 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.640 | $371.2 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Boxing: Adam22 vs. Jason LuvAdam22 | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 244.04 | $0.324 | $79.09 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 125.63 | $0.398 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 118.42 | $0.380 | $45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 202.7 | $0.460 | $93.24 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 202.7 | $0.370 | $75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 599.28 | $0.644 | $385.87 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?Yes | sell | 409.94 | $0.060 | $24.6 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 198.33 | $0.060 | $11.9 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.140 | $16.67 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 150.04 | $0.666 | $100 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?No | buy | 233.96 | $0.855 | $200 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?Yes | buy | 409.94 | $0.080 | $32.8 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 599.29 | $0.667 | $400 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.470 | $671.43 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.210 | $25 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.490 | $700 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 213.97 | $0.480 | $102.71 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 325 | $0.210 | $68.25 | Jul 10, 2025 |