Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 30.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 30.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
206 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Untimely-Trustee | No | 56.5K |
| LuNx | No | 28.44K |
| ALMOST | No | 17.56K |
| Gluknak | No | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| cska1948 | No | 6.95K |
| wan123 | No | 2.3K |
| Mecheo | No | 2.22K |
| Keen Oracle 3567 | No | 2.1K |
| Chubby-Nectar | No | 2K |
| Raypiaso002 | No | 2K |
