Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 44% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 66% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 29.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
166 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 7:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 44.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lerosey | Yes | 6.48K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 6.11K |
| john-132 | Yes | 5.95K |
| Llama67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by
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| Yes |
| 4.5K |
| 369-369 | Yes | 4.2K |
| NVH01 | Yes | 2.05K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| exmos1 | Yes | 1.82K |
| JasonPunos | Yes | 1.02K |
