Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 5.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2025 to 23 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 4.3% on 20 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15.5% on 12 Oct 2025. $381.34K traded over the market's life.
169 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MarketCrash | No | 18.8K |
| Anon7777 | No | 18.63K |
| way616 | No | 13.26K |
| fukpol | No | 10.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-cz-by-october-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Spicy-Bid | No | 10K |
| ololololololololo | No | 10K |
| Disable | No | 8.49K |
| Golden Kestrel 5EA8 | No | 8.26K |
| Sirlale | No | 4.64K |
| VinnyViral | No | 4.17K |
