Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 150 | $0.900 | $146.03 | +$11.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.999 |
| $99.9 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No | buy | 18 | $0.700 | $12.6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.670 | $36.18 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 103.85 | $0.780 | $81 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 19.92 | $0.900 | $17.93 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.760 | $228 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanJapan | sell | 427.71 | $0.956 | $408.89 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanJapan | buy | 31.67 | $0.850 | $26.92 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanJapan | buy | 500 | $0.750 | $375 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 576.75 | $0.947 | $546.18 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 252 | $0.939 | $236.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 213 | $0.938 | $199.79 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 111.75 | $0.937 | $104.71 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 31.12 | $0.205 | $6.38 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 143.89 | $0.205 | $29.47 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.84 | $0.930 | $22.17 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 490.55 | $0.083 | $40.82 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | sell | 203.1 | $0.348 | $70.74 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 83.75 | $0.245 | $20.52 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.244 | $4.72 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.144 | $17.28 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.143 | $2.57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Yes | buy | 127.2 | $0.142 | $18.06 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 69.54 | $0.670 | $46.59 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 120 | $0.330 | $39.6 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 337.68 | $0.954 | $322.03 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.764 | $15.28 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.714 | $14.28 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 141.3 | $0.520 | $73.48 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 120 | $0.780 | $93.6 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 51.18 | $0.551 | $28.2 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 999.97 | $0.021 | $20.74 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 120 | $0.800 | $96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 141.3 | $0.610 | $86.19 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 337.68 | $0.919 | $310.33 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 21.88 | $0.450 | $9.85 | Dec 9, 2025 |