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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.680 | $9.41 | -$0.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.45 |
| $0.530 |
| $6.6 |
| Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.630 | $6.6 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.470 | $7.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.59 | $0.690 | $8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.26 | $0.620 | $12.56 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.33 | $0.490 | $8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Yes | buy | 19.18 | $0.730 | $14 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 24.65 | $0.770 | $18.98 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.680 | $3.58 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 17.91 | $0.670 | $12 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.48 | $0.130 | $2.4 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.48 | $0.540 | $9.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.56 | $0.590 | $8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 12 | $0.730 | $8.76 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Yes | buy | 12.21 | $0.750 | $9.16 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 17.01 | $0.720 | $12.25 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.760 | $6.96 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 7.05 | $0.987 | $6.96 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 12 | $0.720 | $8.64 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.920 | $1.11 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Trudeau out before April?Yes | buy | 12.25 | $0.800 | $9.8 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | sell | 7.41 | $0.180 | $1.33 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.920 | $6.93 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.803 | $6.8 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | buy | 7.42 | $0.620 | $4.6 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.940 | $4.32 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Hailey Welch apologize by Friday?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.870 | $3.76 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.950 | $6.7 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2024?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.930 | $3.5 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.864 | $11.86 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.930 | $1.13 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 10.85 | $0.940 | $10.2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.122 | $0.29 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 4.43 | $0.700 | $3.1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 4.43 | $0.790 | $3.5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.802 | $3.94 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.850 | $3.86 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 4.93 | $0.730 | $3.6 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.580 | $2.85 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.814 | $4 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.650 | $3.2 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Nov 8, 2024 |