Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 61% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 81% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 1.8% on 4 Feb 2026. $168.83K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 61.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skribbelfan | Yes | 4.04K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2.5K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| Joyful-Pedal | Yes | 1.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the Artemis II mission.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nasa-artemis-ii
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Productive-Expert | Yes | 1.25K |
| CLERIClvl3lifemastery | Yes | 1K |
| Juan99 | Yes | 845.86 |
| adam1234567890 | Yes | 441.44 |
| LukeAlpha | Yes | 350.01 |
| kamarat | Yes | 350 |
