Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.010 |
| $3 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?No | buy | 202 | $0.010 | $2.02 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.009 | $2.82 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.010 | $0.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 129.65 | $0.010 | $1.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?No | buy | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes | sell | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?Yes | buy | 274.65 | $0.006 | $1.65 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | May 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 271.01 | $0.021 | $5.72 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.030 | $9.06 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $2.99 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.001 | $0 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.001 | $0 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.88 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Yes | sell | 32.71 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 41.67 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.86 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 58.51 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.006 | $0.41 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes | sell | 132.07 | $0.007 | $0.94 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 143.13 | $0.005 | $0.72 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | sell | 212.84 | $0.003 | $0.64 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?Yes | sell | 244.82 | $0.004 | $1.04 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?Yes | sell | 276.61 | $0.002 | $0.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes | sell | 299.95 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes | sell | 299.96 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 299.96 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.004 | $1.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.001 | $0.43 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.009 | $2.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.003 | $0.89 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.009 | $2.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.004 | $1.16 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.002 | $0.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.002 | $0.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.006 | $1.8 | Apr 28, 2026 |