Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2024 to 7 Dec 2024, the highest close was 27.5% on 6 Dec 2024 and the lowest 3.2% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 3.2% on 7 Dec 2024. $63.69K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 7:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 27.5% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 3.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Poops | Yes | 16.08K |
| Cosmicbets | Yes | 19.91 |
| robottu | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hailey Welch issues a public apology over the launch and subsequent volatility of her meme coin $HAWK between December 5, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public apology is defined as any statement of sorrow, regret, or sympathy for people who lost money on the $HAWK coin, released in a manner intended for public consumption. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hailey Welch's official channels (e.g. https://x.com/halieywelchx), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hailey-welch-apologize-by-friday
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