Latest trade
Aug 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ferdl is down $6.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:49 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 44 trades covered 35 markets; 88.6% were buys. They run from May 2, 2025 UTC to Aug 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 105.49 | $0.474 | $46.78 | -$3.22 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 105.49 | $0.474 | $50 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
44 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 19:49 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $154.36 and losing ones cost $81.54 across 24 settled positions. 29.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $43.5 on “Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?” (Yes); the largest loss, $25 on “Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Aug 2026. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $47.86 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 74.07 |
| $0.027 |
| $1.07 |
| -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 41.32 |
| $0.121 |
| $5 |
| Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.009 | $2.25 | Oct 12, 2025 UTC |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 40.32 | $0.620 | $25 | Sep 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Sep 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Aug 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will anyone say "Russia" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Downgrade" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 27.89 | $0.072 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 80 | $0.991 | $79.28 | Jul 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | Jun 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?Yes | sell | 38.84 | $0.899 | $34.92 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 100.23 | $0.120 | $12 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?Yes | buy | 38.85 | $0.051 | $2 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 29.58 | $0.085 | $2.51 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.169 | $5 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 58.5 | $0.256 | $15 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 109.11 | $0.037 | $4 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | May 13, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.870 | $4.94 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 96.23 | $0.260 | $25 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.