Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 57% on 13 Jun 2025 and the low 16.5% on 8 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 57% on 13 Jun 2025. $2.59M traded over the market's life.
141 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 22 May 2025 – 13 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 23.5% |
| 13 Jun 2025 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hmmmmmmmmmmmmm | No | 133.33K |
| craftutopia | No | 106.93K |
| SilentK | No | 11.66K |
| David188 | No | 9.37K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military action against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between May 20, 10:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-strike-an-iranian-nuclear-facility-before-july
| blankie | No | 8.79K |
| psdfsdf | No | 8.11K |
| deluver123 | No | 7.92K |
| wakewakewake | No | 6.36K |
| icetlv | No | 5.22K |
| kolia | No | 5K |
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