Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$308.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 18, 2025 UTC

Topic roomEurovision

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 18 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 6 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 6 May 2025 to 18 May 2025, the highest close was 100% on 18 May 2025 and the lowest 20% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 100% on 18 May 2025. $307.95K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 19, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 May 2025 – 18 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 May 2025	20.0%
18 May 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Misty Voyager B090	No	720
Crimson Pulse D31E	No	280
TimeTraveler	No	116.72
FALCObae	No	37.99

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2025 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.