Latest trade
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:44 AM UTC.
Analytics
artofinvesting has made $38.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:44 AM UTC.
$1.06 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from May 14, 2026 UTC to Sep 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.156 | $72.36 | -$98.53 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 399.74 | $0.090 | $35.98 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 02:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
14 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 04:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 04:44 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-17 14:13 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $146.31 and losing ones cost $0.25 across 11 settled positions. 81.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $87.16 on “Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?” (No); the largest loss, $0.25 on “Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 3 Feb 2026 and most recently on 6 Sep 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $339.98 across 14 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 4.03K |
| $0.047 |
| $66.58 |
| -$123.12 |
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.187 | $64.04 | -$164.52 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 625 | $0.157 | $32.19 | -$65.79 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.260 | $26.5 | -$103.5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 399.74 | $0.090 | $22.39 | -$13.59 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Something | 646.87 | $0.078 | $19.41 | -$31.04 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $11.1 | -$30.9 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 60.41 | $0.270 | $7.55 | -$8.76 |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 95.19 | $0.107 | $7.14 | -$3.02 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 200 | $0.120 | $3.9 | -$20.1 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.120 | $3.4 | -$8.6 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 29.14 | $0.135 | $3.21 | -$0.74 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes | 34.81 | $0.042 | $0.23 | -$1.24 |
| sell |
| 53.81 |
| $0.310 |
| $16.68 |
| Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.84 | $0.160 | $12.45 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.124 | $2.48 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.122 | $1.22 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.225 | $6.75 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 293.76 | $0.007 | $2.06 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.005 | $0.25 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.005 | $0.22 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.005 | $0.03 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.005 | $0.09 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 24.31 | $0.005 | $0.12 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.005 | $0.22 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.005 | $0.06 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 29.6 | $0.005 | $0.15 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 34.84 | $0.005 | $0.17 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.005 | $0.11 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 27.58 | $0.005 | $0.14 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 190.4 | $0.005 | $0.95 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.005 | $0.1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.005 | $0.04 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.005 | $0.08 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 33.82 | $0.005 | $0.17 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 589 | $0.011 | $6.48 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 411 | $0.011 | $4.52 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.036 | $10.8 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.294 | $29.4 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.160 | $0.18 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 74.11 | $0.035 | $2.59 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.73 | $0.035 | $0.73 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.9 | $0.160 | $7.5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.05 | $0.160 | $1.13 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.035 | $3.26 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.035 | $0.43 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.