Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.187 | $84.17 | -$144.39 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 399.74 | $0.090 | $35.98 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.1K |
| $0.156 |
| $49.34 |
| -$121.55 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.260 | $40.25 | -$89.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 399.74 | $0.090 | $37.98 | +$2 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 625 | $0.157 | $34.38 | -$63.6 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.047 | $30.26 | -$159.43 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Something | 646.87 | $0.078 | $19.08 | -$31.36 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $15.45 | -$26.55 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 95.19 | $0.107 | $10 | -$0.16 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 60.41 | $0.270 | $6.65 | -$9.67 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.120 | $6.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 200 | $0.120 | $5.5 | -$18.5 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 29.14 | $0.135 | $4.37 | +$0.43 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes | 34.81 | $0.042 | $0.37 | -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.123 |
| $1.23 |
| May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.122 | $1.22 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.225 | $6.75 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.036 | $10.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.294 | $29.4 | May 16, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.035 | $0.43 | May 14, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 399.99 | $0.173 | $69.2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 225.67 | $0.160 | $36.11 | May 14, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | May 14, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething | buy | 180 | $0.080 | $14.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.170 | $51 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.042 | $8.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 31.84 | $0.270 | $8.6 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.014 | $8.31 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.033 | $10.23 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething | buy | 166.92 | $0.078 | $13.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Yes | sell | 74.3 | $0.150 | $11.15 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.27 | $0.059 | $0.66 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 40 | $0.030 | $1.19 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.904 | $18.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.056 | $56 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 676.28 | $0.037 | $25.02 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.180 | $19.98 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.180 | $12.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 666 | $0.180 | $119.88 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 888 | $0.032 | $28.42 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 777 | $0.042 | $32.63 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 266.39 | $0.033 | $8.79 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.053 | $15.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.052 | $36.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1K | $0.049 | $49 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Feb 8, 2026 |