Latest trade
Jun 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:35 AM UTC.
Analytics
Indigo Vector 784B is down $164.24 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:35 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 120 markets; 48.3% were buys. They run from Jun 19, 2026 UTC to Jun 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.84 | $0.389 | $0.41 | +$0.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes | sell | 36.96 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 00:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 03:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 03:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $13.6 and losing ones cost $27.2 across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.35 on “Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?” (No); the largest loss, $5.13 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?” (Yes).
It first traded on 15 Mar 2026 and most recently on 30 Jun 2026, 107 days ago. It has traded 755 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.41 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.02 |
| $0.960 |
| $0.98 |
| Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.992 | $1.02 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.225 | $0.23 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.958 | $1.02 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.910 | $0.97 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.932 | $1.01 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.940 | $1.07 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.836 | $0.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.420 | $0.54 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.981 | $1.3 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.740 | $1.01 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.650 | $0.94 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.930 | $1.38 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.580 | $0.89 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.410 | $0.67 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.700 | $1.16 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.380 | $0.74 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No | sell | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.962 | $1.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.230 | $0.51 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 2.61 | $0.780 | $2.04 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.76 | $0.963 | $2.66 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.978 | $2.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.760 | $2.16 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.09 | $0.999 | $3.09 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.954 | $2.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.837 | $2.87 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.470 | $1.69 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.230 | $0.87 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.972 | $3.99 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.230 | $0.96 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.048 | $0.23 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.719 | $3.75 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.235 | $1.27 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.47 | $0.992 | $5.43 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.100 | $0.59 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.090 | $0.76 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.072 | $1.6 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.59 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.86 | $0.122 | $3.76 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
1 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.