Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 40% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 30 Jun 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 67.3% on 26 Jun 2026. $2.02M traded over the market's life.
277 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 30 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 40.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joyss | No | 101.06K |
| chiiinaski | No | 98.43K |
| Yupionso | No | 55.24K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-venezuela-again-by
| Agonizing-Statistics | No | 40K |
| Grounded-Customer | No | 37.22K |
| Bleak-Jealousy | No | 33.76K |
| CW1975 | No | 30.36K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 23.78K |
| Sinful-Wellbeing | No | 23K |
| kmwo | No | 20.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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