Latest trade
Sep 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:33 AM UTC.
Analytics
lainy is down $8.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:33 AM UTC.
$13 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Mar 29, 2026 UTC to Sep 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? | No | 90.56 | $0.995 | $90.2 | +$0.09 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.988 | $2.43 | 23d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 23:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 07:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 07:33 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.01 and losing ones cost $15.72 across 37 settled positions. 75.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.91 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.67 on “Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 30 Sep 2026. It has traded 46 markets. Its open positions are worth $146.19 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 22.02 |
| $0.890 |
| $18.5 |
| -$1.1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 14.9 | $0.960 | $14.24 | -$0.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 14.24 | $0.850 | $11.6 | -$0.5 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.940 | $7.88 | -$0.12 |
 America.gov removed by October 31? | No | 3.82 | $0.978 | $3.72 | -$0.02 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 11.2 | $0.500 | $0.04 | -$5.56 |
| buy |
| 1.37 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.12 |
| 23d ago |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.907 | $3.81 | 23d ago |
| America.gov removed by October 31?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.978 | $3.74 | 23d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 12.33 | $0.968 | $11.94 | 23d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 8.8 | $0.026 | $0.23 | 23d ago |
| Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 90.56 | $0.995 | $90.11 | 24d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | 24d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | sell | 183.37 | $0.060 | $11 | 24d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.968 | $11.94 | 24d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.989 | $22 | 24d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.02 | $0.890 | $19.6 | 24d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 14.24 | $0.850 | $12.1 | 26d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.962 | $57.72 | 26d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.972 | $9.89 | 26d ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?No | sell | 11.63 | $0.991 | $11.53 | 26d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.94 | $0.998 | $21.9 | 26d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.510 | $3.8 | 26d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.998 | $11.61 | 26d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 183.38 | $0.080 | $14.67 | 26d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 14.9 | $0.960 | $14.3 | 26d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.999 | $17 | 26d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.999 | $13 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 16.26 | $0.984 | $16 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.975 | $6 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 47.74 | $0.997 | $47.6 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.997 | $7.53 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 33.39 | $0.998 | $33.32 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.976 | $3 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.936 | $10.2 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.992 | $9.96 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?Up | buy | 3.02 | $0.860 | $2.6 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 25.57 | $0.792 | $20.25 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 52.12 | $0.996 | $51.91 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.880 | $52.8 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.973 | $17.9 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.770 | $70 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 104.28 | $0.964 | $100.53 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 68.13 | $0.954 | $65 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 51.19 | $0.293 | $15 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 25.58 | $0.782 | $20 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 104.28 | $0.961 | $100.21 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.