Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 17.5% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 11.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $91.82K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 10 Jul 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2026 | 17.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| collectorr | Yes | 4.44K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 3.06K |
| studmuffin6969 | Yes | 1.85K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353
| Yes |
| 1.61K |
| LuckyPunch99 | Yes | 1.33K |
| Kekto | Yes | 859.14 |
| TradingBear | Yes | 609.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
| RobertCZ | Yes | 300 |
| Whimsical-Theft | Yes | 275.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
