Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 17K | $0.771 | $14.54K | +$1.42K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 2.9K | $0.850 | $2.46K | 14d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 14.85K |
| $0.883 |
| $14.07K |
| +$961.74 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.902 | $9.35K | +$330.04 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 6K | $0.986 | $5.95K | +$38.01 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5.5K | $0.859 | $5.09K | +$363.66 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.08K | $0.217 | $5.06K | +$3.74K |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 5K | $0.920 | $4.72K | +$125 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.72K | $0.786 | $2.45K | +$308.57 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3K | $0.791 | $2.44K | +$64.5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2K | $0.990 | $2K | +$17 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.910 | $1.89K | +$70 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.352 | $1.58K | -$3.04 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.890 | $1.4K | +$67.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.25K | $0.914 | $1.24K | +$99.38 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.920 | $1.02K | +$16.44 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2K | $0.453 | $1.01K | +$103.6 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.953 | $999.5 | +$46.5 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4K | $0.220 | $860 | -$20 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.480 | $787.5 | +$67.5 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 800 | $0.830 | $752 | +$88 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.693 | $728.75 | -$19.79 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 729.84 | $0.740 | $660.5 | +$120.42 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 557 | $0.900 | $543.35 | +$42.05 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.437 | $543.07 | +$90.7 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.070 | $510.25 | +$57.76 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.944 |
| $1.89K |
| 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.100 | $300 | 22d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.319 | $95.7 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 2K | $0.992 | $1.98K | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 352.63 | $0.987 | $348.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.62 | $0.910 | $26.04 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 149.96 | $0.937 | $140.51 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.967 | $483.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.740 | $1.48K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No | buy | 40 | $0.992 | $39.68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No | buy | 18.99 | $0.997 | $18.93 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | buy | 557.99 | $0.996 | $555.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 300 | $0.429 | $128.84 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.720 | $1.44K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 409.78 | $0.680 | $278.65 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.409 | $1.64K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 19.02 | $0.973 | $18.51 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 37K | $0.760 | $28.12K | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.762 | $1.33K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 884.45 | $0.768 | $678.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 238 | $0.350 | $83.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 349.34 | $0.983 | $343.38 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 76.3 | $0.789 | $60.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 10K | $0.860 | $8.6K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 40K | $0.850 | $34K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 699.99 | $0.666 | $466.19 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 320 | $0.200 | $64 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 400.63 | $0.200 | $80.13 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.029 | $203 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.957 | $478.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.994 | $497 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 6.17K | $0.004 | $24.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.957 | $957 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.983 | $1.97K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 599 | $0.690 | $413.31 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 232 | $0.122 | $28.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.980 | $2.45K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 259 | $0.108 | $27.97 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 295.91 | $0.231 | $68.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 200 | $0.251 | $50.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |