Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1K | $0.234 | $152.54 | -$81.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.181 | $72.25 | 10d ago |
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| Yes |
| 600.22 |
| $0.206 |
| $146.15 |
| +$22.41 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 840.28 | $0.178 | $113.44 | -$36.56 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.530 | $97 | -$9 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.260 | $27 | -$25 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.170 | $27 | -$6.93 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.110 | $26 | -$18 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.160 | $25 | -$7 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 531.37 | $0.100 | $18.86 | -$34.51 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.120 | $16.5 | -$19.5 |
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 175.75 | $0.089 | $14.94 | -$0.78 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $11.3 | +$1.3 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 147.06 | $0.068 | $9.41 | -$0.59 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 119.05 | $0.210 | $8.93 | -$16.07 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.018 | $8.61 | -$1.39 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 270 | $0.055 | $8.24 | -$6.61 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.170 | $7.9 | -$26.1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | Yes | 300 | $0.064 | $5.85 | -$13.48 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.080 | $4.5 | -$11.5 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $3.6 | -$10.4 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.070 |
| $14 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.064 | $19.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $33.93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.179 | $17.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jul 19, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | sell | 300 | $0.470 | $141 | Jul 18, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Jul 18, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 197.32 | $0.120 | $23.68 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Jul 16, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.359 | $53.91 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.070 | $35 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.419 | $41.9 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.233 | $46.53 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.247 | $49.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.048 | $9.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.229 | $45.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 190.7 | $0.288 | $55 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 66.22 | $0.255 | $16.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 234.74 | $0.073 | $17.14 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.132 | $264.83 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 280.37 | $0.330 | $92.52 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.097 | $14.51 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.460 | $92.46 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.11 | $0.510 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.190 | $57 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.551 | $110.13 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.326 | $65.16 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.038 | $22.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.165 | $33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.082 | $24.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $13.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.091 | $18.17 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 150.07 | $0.810 | $121.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.395 | $78.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.108 | $32.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.226 | $67.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 150.06 | $0.563 | $84.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.157 | $31.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |