Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 14.81 | $0.945 | $14.39 | +$0.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 13.31 | $0.977 | $13 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 15.03 |
| $0.998 |
| $15 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 26.55 | $0.976 | $25.91 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.945 | $14 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 28.08 | $0.520 | $14.6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 25.3 | $0.990 | $25.05 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?Down | buy | 35.43 | $0.064 | $2.26 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 29-January 4?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.998 | $22 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 13.85 | $0.950 | $13.16 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo GamingWeibo Gaming | buy | 93.93 | $0.590 | $55.42 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.978 | $7 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.975 | $6 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?No | buy | 14.11 | $0.992 | $14 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Oceania?No | buy | 44.18 | $0.996 | $44 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.995 | $20.04 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 48.8 | $0.996 | $48.6 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 35.28 | $0.992 | $35 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | sell | 47.62 | $0.998 | $47.52 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Karina Gould be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | buy | 47.63 | $0.999 | $47.58 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Piano Lesson"?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Emilia Pérez"?No | buy | 41.04 | $0.999 | $41 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.995 | $27 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No | sell | 4.95K | $0.995 | $4.93K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No | buy | 4.95K | $0.997 | $4.93K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.969 | $25 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No | sell | 4.96K | $0.998 | $4.96K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?No | buy | 4.96K | $0.999 | $4.96K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.984 | $16.96 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Southampton wins the Premier League?No | sell | 4.95K | $0.998 | $4.95K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Southampton wins the Premier League?No | buy | 4.95K | $0.999 | $4.95K | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 26.37 | $0.948 | $25 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.99K | $0.998 | $4.98K | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.99K | $0.999 | $4.99K | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?Yes | buy | 24.28 | $0.906 | $22 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.997 | $5.01K | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.998 | $5.01K | Jan 22, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 19.79 | $0.987 | $19.53 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.986 | $17 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.988 | $13.04 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.978 | $12 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.990 | $15.68 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Nov 28, 2024 |