
Resolved Yes on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 100% on 24 Jan 2025 and the lowest 70.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 86.7% on 23 Jan 2025. $66.12K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 70.5% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kanacke66 | No | 109.43 |
| WideCock66 | No | 50 |
| rahcket | No | 5.01 |
| petrovic1914 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 20, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship," which establishes a new definition for birthright citizenship as implemented by the 14th amendment. You can read that executive order here: https://whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" in any part of the United States by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of this executive order will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/birthright-citizenship-ban-blocked-in-january
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