Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 9 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 359 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 51.3% on 13 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 51.3% on 13 Jan 2024. $1.27M traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 359 points, 9 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of South Korea by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by North Korea, South Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2024
| zhunbeipai | Yes | 1K |
| fangzzzi | Yes | 1K |
| babbbylon | Yes | 1K |
| uuuyong | Yes | 990 |
| zzxx | Yes | 402.49 |
| kamala-is-brat | Yes | 255.71 |
| 11-name | No | 88.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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