Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
Aramorthe is down $113.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:14 PM UTC.
$7.35 median trade
Its latest 44 trades covered 44 markets; 0.0% were buys. They run from Oct 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 46.85 | $0.030 | $1.41 | 17d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 20:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
44 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:14 UTC
polymarket positions
46 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 20:26 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.54 and losing ones cost $114.72 across 45 settled positions. 11.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.8 on “Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $12.16 on “SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 45 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 46.73 |
| $0.040 |
| $1.85 |
| 17d ago |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.23 | $0.070 | $1.98 | 17d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 42.99 | $0.050 | $2.15 | 17d ago |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | sell | 155.91 | $0.006 | $0.97 | 17d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 60.65 | $0.022 | $1.33 | 17d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 112.67 | $0.026 | $2.93 | 17d ago |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 40.03 | $0.079 | $3.16 | 17d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 50.69 | $0.070 | $3.55 | 17d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Yes | sell | 73.29 | $0.048 | $3.49 | 17d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.18 | $0.018 | $2.3 | 17d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.7 | $0.040 | $4.07 | 17d ago |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.080 | $4.4 | 17d ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 102.07 | $0.036 | $3.63 | 17d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 288.89 | $0.021 | $6.07 | 17d ago |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 270.04 | $0.012 | $3.35 | 17d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Yes | sell | 206.01 | $0.034 | $6.93 | 17d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 93.76 | $0.080 | $7.5 | 17d ago |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 102.97 | $0.070 | $7.21 | 17d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.04 | $0.080 | $8.4 | 17d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | sell | 126.34 | $0.070 | $8.84 | 17d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | sell | 151.45 | $0.070 | $10.6 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No | sell | 202.36 | $0.060 | $12.14 | 17d ago |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 304.17 | $0.042 | $12.65 | 17d ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 764.69 | $0.022 | $16.82 | 17d ago |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 480.09 | $0.039 | $18.72 | 17d ago |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 439.26 | $0.045 | $19.74 | 17d ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 932.94 | $0.021 | $19.84 | 17d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 389.07 | $0.060 | $23.34 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 390.88 | $0.060 | $23.45 | 17d ago |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 473.17 | $0.042 | $19.85 | 17d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 290.76 | $0.090 | $26.17 | 17d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 478.97 | $0.060 | $28.74 | 17d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 632.21 | $0.056 | $35.65 | 17d ago |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 581.17 | $0.060 | $34.87 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 412.1 | $0.095 | $39.31 | 17d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 40.93 | $0.048 | $1.96 | 17d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 47.76 | $0.040 | $1.91 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.54 | $0.082 | $1.93 | 17d ago |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.040 | $0.11 | 17d ago |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | sell | 315.45 | $0.033 | $10.31 | 17d ago |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 337.27 | $0.048 | $16.19 | 17d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 335.95 | $0.090 | $30.24 | 17d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 553.54 | $0.078 | $43.18 | 17d ago |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.