Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 208.33 |
| $0.024 |
| $5 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 US bank failure by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.250 | $1.34 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | sell | 1.47 | $0.831 | $1.22 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.120 | $0.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.180 | $0.64 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.530 | $1.92 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.994 | $1.02 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.959 | $1.99 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Cardano ETF in 2025?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.976 | $3.75 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.971 | $4.85 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.981 | $6.69 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.954 | $1.34 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.992 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.989 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.991 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.970 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.910 | $5.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.986 | $1.03 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.983 | $1.03 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.968 | $1.32 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.960 | $2.15 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.991 | $1.08 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.940 | $1.18 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.860 | $2.96 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.110 | $0.18 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.978 | $3.34 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.950 | $1.28 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Cardano ETF in 2025?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |