Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 31 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 337 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8% on 4 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $359.02K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 337 points, 31 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SimonaFF | Yes | 3.58K |
| Unkempt-Ketchup | Yes | 2.63K |
| Meaty-Running | Yes | 1.95K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea between January 29 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Phaloslocus | Yes | 1.46K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 1.42K |
| sksoon01 | Yes | 480 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| donnamartin | Yes | 200 |
| kigary | Yes | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 181.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
