Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$92.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points down, to 3.3% on 14 Nov 2025. $92.48K traded over the market's life.

37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:49 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Nov 2025	10.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bradlys	Yes	4.14K
Prianik	Yes	1K
tailevent	Yes	600

10 of 37 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.