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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 37.68 | $0.600 | $22.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 44.28 |
| $0.500 |
| $22.14 |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 13.82 | $0.840 | $11.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.71 | $0.770 | $11.33 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.610 | $11.49 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 13.82 | $0.840 | $11.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.840 | $1.09 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.41 | $0.027 | $0.47 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.026 | $0.93 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.030 | $1.07 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.84 | $0.068 | $0.47 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.1 | $0.013 | $0.56 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.070 | $1.35 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.1 | $0.030 | $1.29 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $260 before 2026??Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.019 | $0.89 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.060 | $1.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.13 | $0.050 | $0.81 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.050 | $0.91 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.060 | $1.09 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.050 | $0.91 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.060 | $1.09 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.050 | $0.91 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.060 | $1.09 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.010 | $1.07 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?Yes | buy | 108.25 | $0.005 | $0.54 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.044 | $4.84 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |