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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.724 | $7.24 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 160 |
| $0.090 |
| $14.4 |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.080 | $1.12 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?No | sell | 90.09 | $0.202 | $18.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.111 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 174.43 | $0.560 | $97.68 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 99.98 | $0.218 | $21.82 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.299 | $21.32 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Hades II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?Yes | buy | 312.4 | $0.096 | $29.99 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?Yes | buy | 152.47 | $0.380 | $57.94 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will 'Hades II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 226.89 | $0.044 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?Yes | buy | 102.69 | $0.390 | $40 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 174.43 | $0.690 | $120.36 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.370 | $6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?Yes | buy | 128.63 | $0.311 | $40 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 148.94 | $0.940 | $140 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 262.43 | $0.076 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.75 | $0.232 | $40 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 89.55 | $0.980 | $87.76 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?No | sell | 452.73 | $0.150 | $68.01 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 110.68 | $0.942 | $104.22 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?No | buy | 41.84 | $0.239 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 89.55 | $0.670 | $60 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.692 | $40 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 980.32 | $0.051 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.270 | $8.82 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?No | buy | 452.73 | $0.044 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 211.45 | $0.284 | $60 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 179.49 | $0.390 | $70 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 508.8 | $0.049 | $25 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | sell | 259.55 | $0.945 | $245.27 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 52.47 | $0.966 | $50.69 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 207.08 | $0.966 | $200 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 114.57 | $0.698 | $80 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Frax win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 217.75 | $0.005 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Sky win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Agora win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 223.56 | $0.004 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes | buy | 181.2 | $0.607 | $110 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?No | sell | 1.57K | $0.003 | $5.2 | Sep 7, 2025 |