Analytics
Resolved 80k on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had 80k at 9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 180 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 91.1% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 25.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 25.5% on 12 Aug 2025. $1.33M traded over the market's life.
376 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 180 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 91.0% |
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-80k-or-150k-first
| nil.unaware | 150k | 19.63K |
| MPIL | 150k | 13.16K |
| Prize-Ukulele | 150k | 12.56K |
| ngv0n4g20ndn | 150k | 11.57K |
| wttg | 150k | 10.81K |
| Unfolded-Domain | 150k | 8.19K |
| 0Ryu0 | 150k | 6.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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