Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.43 |
| $0.830 |
| $7.8 |
| +$0.8 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 27.03 | $0.740 | $7.57 | -$12.43 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 6.63 | $0.905 | $6.38 | +$0.38 |
 US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | No | 4.46 | $0.897 | $4.3 | +$0.3 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5.38 |
| $0.930 |
| $5 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.944 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Erdoğan out in 2025?No | buy | 21.63 | $0.920 | $19.9 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.982 | $3 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |
 Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
 Modi out in 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out in 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |