Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 235 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.5% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $120.23K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 235 points, 13 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| astrobeliever | Yes | 5K |
| striderincity | Yes | 690 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 337.44 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, is removed from power for any length of time between May 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of India within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/modi-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Scrap1 | Yes | 300 |
| kamarat | Yes | 281.54 |
| Ecri | Yes | 277.71 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 195.95 |
| frogzu | Yes | 193.06 |
| Regular-Thunderstorm | Yes | 166.67 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 106 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
