Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.6K | $0.960 | $2.51K | +$5.56 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.620 | $3.44 | 5h ago |
|
| No |
| 1.26K |
| $0.861 |
| $1.16K |
| +$80.48 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.13K | $0.919 | $1.06K | +$18.43 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 838 | $0.809 | $724.87 | +$46.83 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 699.99 | $0.913 | $633.49 | -$5.5 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 424.6 | $0.883 | $384.27 | +$9.38 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.767 | $259.5 | +$29.5 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 280 | $0.853 | $245 | +$6.2 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | Yes | 252.17 | $0.543 | $226.95 | +$89.94 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 235 | $0.863 | $222.08 | +$19.19 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.880 | $180.99 | +$5 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.840 | $173 | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.532 | $166.54 | -$444.26 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 162.97 | $0.651 | $147.49 | +$41.36 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 150 | $0.863 | $140.25 | +$10.75 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.900 | $138.98 | +$3.98 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 146.19 | $0.839 | $135.23 | +$12.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 144.59 | $0.794 | $123.63 | +$8.77 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.640 | $77.5 | +$13.5 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 259.66 | $0.317 | $71.41 | -$10.81 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135 | $0.300 | $42.53 | +$2.03 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 55 | $0.830 | $42.08 | -$3.58 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.620 | $30.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 63 | $0.380 | $30.56 | +$6.62 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 28.16 | $0.636 | $25.21 | +$7.29 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.610 |
| $6.1 |
| 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 5h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 107.03 | $0.733 | $78.42 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.210 | $136.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.830 | $249.06 | 8d ago |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 135 | $0.890 | $120.15 | 8d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | 10d ago |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.850 | $76.5 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 10d ago |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | 10d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.961 | $1.92K | 13d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 56.45 | $0.997 | $56.28 | 13d ago |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | 13d ago |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | sell | 279.79 | $0.910 | $254.61 | 13d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 554.68 | $0.960 | $532.49 | 13d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 290 | $0.964 | $279.69 | 13d ago |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.937 | $187.4 | 13d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.890 | $133.5 | 18d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.993 | $496.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.11 | $0.400 | $16.04 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.6 | $0.400 | $49.84 | 20d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Yes | sell | 52.1 | $0.920 | $47.93 | 20d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 119.99 | $0.991 | $118.91 | 20d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.850 | $340 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.300 | $40.5 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 319.3 | $0.862 | $275.24 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 27.79 | $0.602 | $16.73 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.360 | $22.68 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 260.97 | $0.280 | $73.07 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 110.01 | $0.185 | $20.37 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.558 | $94.93 | 29d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 582.74 | $0.071 | $41.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 185.25 | $0.520 | $96.33 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 53.5 | $0.992 | $53.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.840 | $252 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 17.49 | $0.697 | $12.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 110.01 | $0.035 | $3.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | Aug 5, 2026 |