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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.220 | $0.36 | Oct 28, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 2.21 |
| $0.199 |
| $0.44 |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.199 | $0.24 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Netanyahu out in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.100 | $0.51 | Oct 28, 2024 |
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.150 | $0.25 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Netanyahu out in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.100 | $0.26 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.012 | $0.25 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.240 | $0.5 | Oct 9, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.430 | $0.5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.330 | $0.5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.041 | $0.5 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.045 | $0.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.045 | $0.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.98 | $0.510 | $0.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.476 | $1 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.160 | $1.5 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | sell | 13.87 | $0.704 | $9.76 | Feb 29, 2024 |
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Jan 17, 2024 |
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.028 | $0.5 | Jan 8, 2024 |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 8, 2024 |
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.018 | $0.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.240 | $0.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will Solana Network go down in January?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.480 | $2.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.200 | $2.15 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 4, 2024 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.044 | $0.5 | Jan 4, 2024 |