Will Solana Network go down in January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$61.6K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 3 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2024 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Jan 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 49.5% on 27 Jan 2024. $61.63K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:00 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 3 Jan 2024 – 1 Feb 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Jan 2024	22.5%
1 Feb 2024	1.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Energy8	Yes	2K
betterbettor86	Yes	1.2K
minori	Yes	562.5
TGH	Yes	100

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if Solana experiences downtime in January (ET). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Downtime must occur for at least 10 minutes and be widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Sources such as https://status.solana.com/uptime?page=5 and https://dune.com/dsaber/solana-network-health-report may additionally be considered.