
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.3%. Yes opened at 17% on 15 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 15 Dec 2023 to 5 Mar 2024, the highest close was 93.3% on 5 Mar 2024 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 68.5% on 29 Feb 2024. $1.28M traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 5:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 15 Dec 2023 – 5 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2023 | 17.0% |
| 5 Mar 2024 | 93.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BidenBetter | No | 10K |
| misc_xyz | No | 8.99K |
| DannyD | No | 2.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 according to Binance between December 14, 2023, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). If Binance is unavailable, a consensus of other credible sources will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by-mar-31
| No |
| 1.26K |
| altcoin_bets | No | 657.12 |
| PlayableCharacter | No | 642.15 |
| jalah | No | 633.71 |
| cancarooo | No | 610.4 |
| drain the swamp! | No | 380.05 |
| Wick | Yes | 370.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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