Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.2% on 20 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 288 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 51.4% on 23 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 51.4% on 23 Mar 2024. $329.25K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 5:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 288 points, 20 Mar 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2024 | 2.2% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 47.39K |
| kingfisher | Yes | 2.56K |
| CookieMonster69 | Yes | 949.16 |
This is a market on who will be the next actor to play James Bond in the upcoming film series.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor
| Elimros | Yes | 612.99 |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa111 | Yes | 500 |
| Elmoto.eth | Yes | 421.22 |
| Diiino | Yes | 357.14 |
| GMZekrim | Yes | 350 |
| ZorKid | Yes | 287.1 |
| Siziriv | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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