Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 27.6% on 8 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 8 Dec 2023 to 29 Mar 2024, the highest close was 98% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 25.5% on 10 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 37.5% on 23 Dec 2023. $2.74K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 8 Dec 2023 – 29 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2023 | 27.6% |
| 29 Mar 2024 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trapto | No | 178.48 |
| cryptonym | Yes | 6.12 |
| SalvadoreDallee | No | 3.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if number of applicants to Harvard for the Class of 2028 is lower than the number of applicants for the class of 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first release of information by Harvard on the number of applicants for the Class of 2028, regardless of whether that information is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Harvard University (e.g. https://college.harvard.edu/admissions/admissions-statistics, https://oira.harvard.edu/factbook/fact-book-admissions/, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If no information is released for applicants to Harvard for the Class of 2028 by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-harvard-get-fewer-applicants-this-year
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
