Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 23 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 27.5% on 3 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 8% on 7 Nov 2024. $234.68K traded over the market's life.
153 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 23 Oct 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2024 | 24.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BUSE | Yes | 16.68K |
| TheBBroker | Yes | 3.97K |
| Deezly | Yes | 492.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of the COMEX Silver Continuous Contract (SIW00) is $40.01 per troy ounce or greater as of the final market close price in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Silver Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SIW00:COMEX).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-silver-close-over-40-at-the-end-of-2024
| Yes |
| 477.23 |
| Marcel | Yes | 424.83 |
| Haddock | Yes | 217.91 |
| Dreary-Hops | Yes | 160.13 |
| ZeroP | Yes | 157.14 |
| Neural99 | Yes | 142.86 |
| babbayaga | Yes | 116.67 |
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