Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 2 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2023 to 10 Jan 2024, the highest close was 88.5% on 25 Dec 2023 and the lowest 41.5% on 2 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 72.5% on 3 Dec 2023. $12.62M traded over the market's life.
519 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 11:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 2 Dec 2023 – 10 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2023 | 41.5% |
| 10 Jan 2024 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sunilkumar | No | 387K |
| Michalk | No | 349.67K |
| alexalex | No | 138.73K |
| Anonymous5000 | No | 138.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-approved-by-jan-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| misaka | No | 137.19K |
| Drew888 | No | 134.8K |
| Footch | No | 121.54K |
| DJM | No | 109.45K |
| Dunnotho | No | 41.56K |
| compasor | No | 40.03K |
