Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.094 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 233 |
| $0.013 |
| $3 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Syria next?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.875 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?Yes | sell | 30.59 | $0.670 | $20.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 486.67 | $0.055 | $27 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?Yes | buy | 30.59 | $0.163 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel by November 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany by November 30?Yes | buy | 569.91 | $0.009 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France by November 30?Yes | buy | 572.46 | $0.009 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 167.14 | $0.030 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?Yes | buy | 283.89 | $0.018 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?Yes | sell | 21.8 | $0.543 | $11.84 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.492 | $39.37 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.550 | $4.58 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.500 | $1.19 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 119.4 | $0.084 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.068 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?No | buy | 201.87 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 193.64 | $0.052 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.124 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.069 | $4 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?Yes | buy | 101.8 | $0.049 | $5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.02 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| US strikes Iran by October 3?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?No | buy | 109 | $0.092 | $10 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |