Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?

worldResolved

Yes, settled Oct 27, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$574.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 27, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 54% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 277 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 27 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 27 Oct 2025 and the lowest 32.5% on 26 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 86% on 25 Sep 2025. $574.05K traded over the market's life.

130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:25 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 277 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 27 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2025	54.0%
27 Oct 2025	99.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Kapii	No	6.37K
udife3Fnden	No	3.14K
Diwang	No	2.03K

Rules

How this market was settled

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 15 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.