No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Nov 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$10.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 6 Nov 2025, the highest close was 100% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 81.5% on 2 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 94% on 3 Oct 2025. $10.95K traded over the market's life.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 6 Nov 2025, chart shows 75%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Oct 2025	81.5%
6 Nov 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.06K
mindinglo	No	1.84K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	765

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the Selic rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its November 4-5, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/detalhenoticia/20184/nota This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their November meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.