Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.01 | $0.010 | $0.03 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.51 | $0.027 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.069 |
| $4.83 |
| Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 50 | $0.186 | $9.3 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon say "Trump" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.090 | $0.74 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.080 | $4.4 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.944 | $56.61 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No | sell | 26.41 | $0.991 | $26.17 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No | sell | 106.59 | $0.993 | $105.84 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.991 | $220 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis step down before July?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.165 | $6.58 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during his Thursday press conference?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.080 | $4.4 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No | buy | 36.21 | $0.041 | $1.48 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 533.33 | $0.015 | $8 | Feb 3, 2025 |